Electoral Profiles
Demographic profiles of party voter bases and swing voters; factors determining their voting preferences; their opinions about party leaders
14 Results
Political Preferences
March'25 Barometer - 162
7"
31 Mar 2025
The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there were an election today, who they want to govern Turkey, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and an analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there were an election today? (direct preference and s
Political Preferences
January'25 Barometer - 160
41"
31 Jan 2025
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
Politics
Vote preference
Election
Erdogan
RTE
President
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
Erdogan report card
Early election
Constitutional amendment
Who should govern Turkey?
Devlet Bahceli
Ekrem İmamoglu
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavas
Müsavat Dervisoglu
Ozgur Ozel
Selahattin Demirtas
Umit Ozdag
Barometer160
Political Preferences
July'24 Barometer - 155
8"
31 Jul 2024
This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Hasan Kirmanoğlu
Vote Preference
Mehmet Şimşek report card
Erdoğan's report card
President
Minister of Treasury and Finance
Inflation
Economy
Governance
Duty
Political Preferences
June'24 Barometer - 154
4"
28 Jun 2024
The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
AKP
CHP
MHP
HDP
DEM
İYİP
Vote preference
Right-Left
Right-Left Scale
Erdoğan's report card
President report card
AK Party
Good Party
Victory Party
ZP
YRP
Swing voters
Non voters
Election
Comparative Advantage, Political Polarization and Economic Voting
May'24 Barometer - 153
5"
31 May 2024
Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu evaluates political polarization in Turkey by analyzing KONDA's monthly data from March 2012 to May 2024:Comparative advantage of swing voters for CHP voters over Ak Parti voters.
CHP
Ak Parti
Undecided
Hasan Kirmanoglu
Voter profile
Tendency
Swing voters
Political Preferences
April'24 Barometer - 152
8"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election today
March 31
Political Preferences
Local elections
Municipal elections
Political Parties
Political Leaders
CHP
Ak Party
MHP
İyi Party
DEM
Vote
Vote preference
March 31 Local Elections
Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
16"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local Elections
March 31st
CHP
Tactical Vote
Vote behavior
Undecided
Provincial elections
Municipal elections
March 31st 2024
March 31st local elections
Vote preference satisfaction
Coalition
Barometer 152
Aytuğ Şaşmaz
Ak Parti-MHP Bloc
Ak Parti-MHP
Emotions After The Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
5"
30 Apr 2024
The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local Election
March 31
Anger
Surprise
Joy
Relief
Disappointment
Concern
March 31 local elections
Election result
CHP
Ak Parti
DEM
HDP
MHP
İyi Parti
Post-election
Post-election emotions
Emotions after the election
March 31 Local Elections
Election Evaluations by Voters
April'24 Barometer - 152
9"
30 Apr 2024
The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP, the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
Election
Evaluation
Voter
Election Evaluation
Ak Parti
CHP
MHP
New administration
Change of administration
Change of administration in CHP
CHP candidates
Candidate
Candidate list
CHP won
Ak Parti lost
Ak Parti administration
Government
After the local elections
Wrong candidate
Right candidate
Municipalism
Good municipalism
CHP municipalities
Ak Parti municipalities
Post-Election Expectations
April'24 Barometer - 152
4"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines the expectations of the society after the March 31st Local Elections under the headings of political polarization, national economy, Kurdish issue, municipal services, freedoms, country governance, interference in lifestyle and municipality-government relations:How will municipal services change?How will freedoms change?How will municipality-go
Political polarization
Polarization
Kurdish issue
Kurdish problem
Kurdish
Economy
Country's economy
Dollar
Euro
Exchange rate difference
Municipality
Local government
Government
Municipality and government
Service
Municipal service
Local government service
Improvement
Worsening
Government administration
Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level
April'24 Barometer - 152
2"
30 Apr 2024
The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-Economic
SEGE
2022 SEGE
Şişli
Harran
Istanbul
Şanlıurfa
Election
Local election
District-based analysis
SEGE clusters
CHP
Ak Parti
CHP voters
Ak Parti voters
Voter clusters
Clusters
Voter sizes
Number of voters
Absentee voters
Invalid votes
Voting Preferences in Local Elections
February'24 Barometer - 150
17"
29 Feb 2024
The section examines the factors affecting voters' voting preferences in local elections and the correlation between these preferences and voter clusters as the March 31st local elections approach:If a local election were held today, who would you vote for and which party would you vote for?Which explains your vote preference in local elections?When you vote for th
General election
Local election
Vote preference
Party affiliation
Ruling party
Mayoral candidate
Urban life
Urban satisfaction
City life facilities
Municipality facilities
Voter profile
Voter satisfaction
Municipality satisfaction
Local election vote preference
Political party decisions
Political Preferences
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
6"
31 Jan 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
Elections
LEFT
RIGHT
Left and Right
Left-Right
Left-Right Scale
Voter profile
Left voter
Right voter
Leftist
Rightist
Left-Right tendency
Observations on Non-Polarized Voters
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
8"
31 Jan 2024
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
Undecided
Non voters
Ak Parti
CHP
Ak Parti voters
CHP voters
Polarization
Political Polarization
Right-Left Scale
Hasan Kirmanoglu
